CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-01-21T09:53:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-01-21T09:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18922/-1
CME Note: This CME is associated with a filament/prominence eruption visible toward the SE limb of the Earth-facing disk in SDO AIA 193/304 near S20E60 (near AR 2934) starting around 2022-01-21T07:45Z. A corresponding dimming/ejection of material is visible to the SE in STEREO A EUVI 195 starting around the same time. The CME appears as a partial halo in STEREO A COR2. This is a possible combined arrival with the 2022-01-20T09:09Z CME.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2022-01-24T17:09Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-01-24T05:56Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 68.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.33333 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -25899.78 hour(s)
Difference: 11.22 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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